Bulgaria Population
Bulgaria population, 1990β2100
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
Explore Bulgaria by year
Drag to read any year's indicators, 1950β2100
Current year
Bulgaria in context
Bulgaria is one of the fastest-shrinking countries in the world. Its population peaked at nearly nine million in 1989, on the eve of communism's collapse, and mass emigration plus low fertility have cut it below seven million since. The projection points toward roughly three and a half million by 2100, which would leave Bulgaria with less than half its Cold War population.
The Bulgaria demographic outlook
Bulgaria is home to about 6.7 million people in 2026, the 110th largest population of any country. In Eastern Europe, where it lies, that future is driven by fertility, longevity and the movement of people across its borders. Population density stands at about 62 people for every square kilometre of land.
The peak is already behind Bulgaria: its population maxed out at about 9.0 million near 1989 and is contracting. By 2050 the UN expects around 5.4 million people, and by 2100 about 3.5 million.
With fertility near 1.75, just under the 2.1 replacement mark, natural increase is fading.
Half of Bulgaria is currently younger than about 45, but by 2100 the median age is projected to reach around 50, even as life expectancy improves from about 76 years. A rising median age means fewer working-age people supporting each retiree over time.
All of this is a projection, not a prediction. The further out it runs the wider the plausible range becomes, which is why Bulgaria's charts show a low-to-high band around the central line.
Migration & natural change
Net migration against natural change (births β deaths), 2026
Bulgaria is a net source of migration: roughly 5,722 more people leave than arrive each year. Deaths now outnumber births, subtracting about 42,889 people a year, so migration is what keeps the population from falling faster.
Who supports whom
Dependants (under 15 and 65+) per 100 working-age adults (15β64)
| Year | Youth | Old-age | Total | 65+ share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | 35 | 57 | 22% |
| 2050 | 24 | 52 | 76 | 29% |
| 2100 | 24 | 59 | 83 | 32% |
A total ratio of 100 means as many dependants as working-age adults. Rising old-age figures signal an ageing population and growing pressure on pensions and healthcare.
Key milestones
Age structure
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Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 6.8 million |
| Population 2050 | 5.4 million |
| Population 2075 | 4.3 million |
| Population 2100 | 3.5 million |
| Median age 2050 | 48.0 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 1.70 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 86.5 years |