Mexico vs Russia: population
How Mexico and Russia compare in population today and out to 2100, side by side, from UN World Population Prospects 2024.
Mexico and Russia population, 2000-2100
Lines cross around 2035
Side by side
| 🇲🇽 Mexico | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
|---|---|---|
| Population today | 132 million | 144 million |
| Population 2050 | 149 million | 136 million |
| Population 2100 | 131 million | 126 million |
| World rank | #11 | #9 |
| Peak year | 2059 | 1992 |
| Median age (2024) | 29 | 40 |
| Fertility rate (2024) | 1.89 | 1.46 |
| Life expectancy (2024) | 75 yrs | 73 yrs |
| Density (per km²) | 68 | 9 |
Why this comparison matters
Russia peaked in 1992 and has been in slow decline for a generation, with fertility of 1.5 births per woman. Mexico's fertility is 1.9, and its growth is slowing toward a peak around 2059. The projection has Mexico passing Russia around 2035, then the two converging again late in the century as both shrink, ending 2100 about 4.2 million apart.
Mexico vs Russia, explained
Today Russia is the larger of the two, with about 144 million people against Mexico's 132 million. Mexico is the world's 11th most populous country and Russia the 9th.
Their paths to 2100 differ. Mexico stays broadly flat over the century, moving from about 130 million to 131 million (+0.2%). Russia declines, going from 145 million to 126 million (-12.9%).
The two cross over: Mexico is projected to overtake Russia around 2035, when both sit near 140 million people. It is one of the clearer signals of how the global ranking is being rewritten.
The deeper contrast is age and fertility. Mexico has a median age near 29 and 1.89 births per woman, against Russia's 40 and 1.46. All figures follow the UN's medium-variant projection.