Indonesia vs Pakistan: population
How Indonesia and Pakistan compare in population today and out to 2100, side by side, from UN World Population Prospects 2024.
Indonesia and Pakistan population, 2000-2100
Lines cross around 2037
Side by side
| 🇮🇩 Indonesia | 🇵🇰 Pakistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Population today | 287 million | 257 million |
| Population 2050 | 320 million | 370 million |
| Population 2100 | 296 million | 511 million |
| World rank | #4 | #5 |
| Peak year | 2059 | 2100 |
| Median age (2024) | 30 | 20 |
| Fertility rate (2024) | 2.11 | 3.55 |
| Life expectancy (2024) | 71 yrs | 68 yrs |
| Density (per km²) | 151 | 336 |
Why this comparison matters
Two of the largest countries in the Muslim world, on diverging tracks. Indonesia has brought its fertility down to the replacement level and is nearing the end of its growth, while Pakistan's birth rate remains high and its population is still expanding rapidly. Indonesia is the bigger of the two today, but Pakistan is projected to overtake it around 2037 and pull steadily ahead.
Indonesia vs Pakistan, explained
Today Indonesia is the larger of the two, with about 287 million people against Pakistan's 257 million. Indonesia is the world's 4th most populous country and Pakistan the 5th.
Their paths to 2100 differ. Indonesia edges higher over the century, moving from about 282 million to 296 million (+4.9%). Pakistan grows strongly, going from 249 million to 511 million (+104.8%).
The two cross over: Pakistan is projected to overtake Indonesia around 2037, when both sit near 307 million people. It is one of the clearer signals of how the global ranking is being rewritten.
The deeper contrast is age and fertility. Indonesia has a median age near 30 and 2.11 births per woman, against Pakistan's 20 and 3.55. All figures follow the UN's medium-variant projection.