Tunisia Population
Tunisia population, 1990–2100
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
Explore Tunisia by year
Drag to read any year's indicators, 1950–2100
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Tunisia in context
Tunisia was an early leader in the Arab world's fertility decline, reaching around the replacement level decades ago, and ageing is now beginning to show. Emigration to Europe remains an important feature of its demographics and economy. The country offers a preview of the older future that much of North Africa is heading toward.
The Tunisia demographic outlook
With roughly 12.4 million people as of 2026, Tunisia ranks 80th in the world by population. Set in Northern Africa, its demographic path this century turns on the balance of births, deaths and migration. It packs in roughly 80 people per square kilometre.
Growth continues for Tunisia until around 2052, the year its population is set to crest at about 13.1 million. From there a slow fall takes it to roughly 10.7 million by century's end.
Fertility sits at about 1.82 births per woman, below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, so without migration the population would eventually shrink.
The median age is set to climb from about 33 today to roughly 51 by 2100, even as life expectancy improves from about 77 years. A rising median age means fewer working-age people supporting each retiree over time.
The trajectory above is the UN's medium scenario. Wars, policy shifts, economic change and migration can all move the numbers, but the broad shape, growth followed by an eventual peak, is robust across the main variants.
Migration & natural change
Net migration against natural change (births − deaths), 2026
Tunisia is a net source of migration: roughly 14,794 more people leave than arrive each year. Births still outnumber deaths, adding about 78,693 people a year on their own.
Who supports whom
Dependants (under 15 and 65+) per 100 working-age adults (15–64)
| Year | Youth | Old-age | Total | 65+ share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36 | 14 | 51 | 10% |
| 2050 | 27 | 33 | 59 | 20% |
| 2100 | 23 | 62 | 85 | 33% |
A total ratio of 100 means as many dependants as working-age adults. Rising old-age figures signal an ageing population and growing pressure on pensions and healthcare.
Key milestones
Age structure
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Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 12.2 million |
| Population 2050 | 13.1 million |
| Population 2075 | 12.3 million |
| Population 2100 | 10.7 million |
| Median age 2050 | 40.3 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 1.70 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 88.3 years |