Morocco Population
Morocco population, 1990β2100
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
Explore Morocco by year
Drag to read any year's indicators, 1950β2100
Current year
Morocco in context
Morocco has moved further through its demographic transition than most of Africa, with fertility now down to around the replacement level and ageing beginning to appear. Emigration to Europe has long shaped its population, creating a large Moroccan diaspora and a steady flow of remittances. The country sits at an inflection point between its youthful past and an older future.
The Morocco demographic outlook
Morocco is the world's 41st most populous country, home to about 38.6 million people in 2026. Set in Northern Africa, its demographic path this century turns on the balance of births, deaths and migration. Population density stands at about 87 people for every square kilometre of land.
Morocco is projected to keep growing until about 2058, when its population peaks at roughly 43.7 million before a gradual decline sets in, leaving it near 38.0 million by 2100.
Half of Morocco is currently younger than about 30, but by 2100 the median age is projected to reach around 48, even as life expectancy improves from about 75 years. A rising median age means fewer working-age people supporting each retiree over time.
Fertility is around 2.21 births per woman, above the replacement level, which keeps natural growth positive for now. Emigration adds a further drag, as departures outnumber arrivals year to year.
Read these numbers as the midpoint of a range. Under the UN's high and low fertility paths Morocco's 2100 population could land well above or below the figures here; the medium variant is simply the central case.
Migration & natural change
Net migration against natural change (births β deaths), 2026
Morocco is a net source of migration: roughly 60,886 more people leave than arrive each year. Births still outnumber deaths, adding about 384,816 people a year on their own.
Who supports whom
Dependants (under 15 and 65+) per 100 working-age adults (15β64)
| Year | Youth | Old-age | Total | 65+ share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39 | 12 | 51 | 8% |
| 2050 | 29 | 25 | 54 | 16% |
| 2100 | 25 | 54 | 79 | 30% |
A total ratio of 100 means as many dependants as working-age adults. Rising old-age figures signal an ageing population and growing pressure on pensions and healthcare.
Key milestones
Age structure
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Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 37.9 million |
| Population 2050 | 43.4 million |
| Population 2075 | 42.6 million |
| Population 2100 | 38.0 million |
| Median age 2050 | 37.4 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 1.86 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 86.2 years |