Guinea Population
Guinea population, 1990β2100
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
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Guinea in context
Guinea has high fertility and a young, fast-growing population, with development held back by poverty and political instability despite considerable mineral wealth. Birth rates are falling only slowly, so the population continues to expand quickly. Building services to match that growth is a persistent struggle.
The Guinea demographic outlook
Guinea is home to about 15.3 million people in 2026, the 75th largest population of any country. In Western Africa, where it lies, that future is driven by fertility, longevity and the movement of people across its borders. It packs in roughly 63 people per square kilometre.
Growth continues for Guinea until around 2100, the year its population is set to crest at about 32.0 million. From there a slow fall takes it to roughly 32.0 million by century's end.
The median age is set to climb from about 18 today to roughly 35 by 2100, while life expectancy, near 61 years, keeps rising. For now it remains one of the world's youngest populations, with a large generation about to reach working age. An older population gradually reshapes the labour force, pension systems and healthcare demand.
Fertility is high, around 4.13 births per woman, the engine of rapid, sustained growth. Net outward migration also weighs on the total, with more people leaving than arriving.
Read these numbers as the midpoint of a range. Under the UN's high and low fertility paths Guinea's 2100 population could land well above or below the figures here; the medium variant is simply the central case.
Migration & natural change
Net migration against natural change (births β deaths), 2026
Guinea is a net source of migration: roughly 19,725 more people leave than arrive each year. Births still outnumber deaths, adding about 360,871 people a year on their own.
Who supports whom
Dependants (under 15 and 65+) per 100 working-age adults (15β64)
| Year | Youth | Old-age | Total | 65+ share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 74 | 6 | 80 | 3% |
| 2050 | 48 | 7 | 55 | 5% |
| 2100 | 31 | 21 | 53 | 14% |
A total ratio of 100 means as many dependants as working-age adults. Rising old-age figures signal an ageing population and growing pressure on pensions and healthcare.
Key milestones
Age structure
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Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 14.6 million |
| Population 2050 | 23.2 million |
| Population 2075 | 29.6 million |
| Population 2100 | 32.0 million |
| Median age 2050 | 24.2 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 2.70 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 70.5 years |