Türkiye vs Germany: population
How Türkiye and Germany compare in population today and out to 2100, side by side, from UN World Population Prospects 2024.
Türkiye and Germany population, 2000-2100
Lines cross around 2092
Side by side
| 🇹🇷 Türkiye | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
|---|---|---|
| Population today | 87.8 million | 83.7 million |
| Population 2050 | 91.3 million | 78.4 million |
| Population 2100 | 65.7 million | 70.9 million |
| World rank | #18 | #19 |
| Peak year | 2047 | 2024 |
| Median age (2024) | 33 | 45 |
| Fertility rate (2024) | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Life expectancy (2024) | 77 yrs | 82 yrs |
| Density (per km²) | 114 | 240 |
Why this comparison matters
Turkey is slightly larger than Germany today, and both countries have fertility below the replacement level: 1.6 births per woman in Turkey, 1.4 in Germany. Turkey is younger, with a median age of 33 against 45, so it keeps growing to a peak around 2047 before declining steeply. Germany peaked in 2024 and declines more slowly, with net immigration cushioning the fall. On the UN projection that slower decline brings Germany back level with Turkey near the end of the century, around 2092.
Türkiye vs Germany, explained
Today Türkiye is the larger of the two, with about 87.8 million people against Germany's 83.7 million. Türkiye is the world's 18th most populous country and Germany the 19th.
Their paths to 2100 differ. Türkiye falls sharply over the century, moving from about 87.4 million to 65.7 million (-24.8%). Germany declines, going from 84.7 million to 70.9 million (-16.3%).
The two cross over: Germany is projected to overtake Türkiye around 2092, when both sit near 71.1 million people. It is one of the clearer signals of how the global ranking is being rewritten.
The deeper contrast is age and fertility. Türkiye has a median age near 33 and 1.62 births per woman, against Germany's 45 and 1.45. All figures follow the UN's medium-variant projection.