Thailand Population
Thailand population, 1990β2100
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
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Thailand in context
Thailand has one of the lowest fertility rates in the developing world, having fallen well below replacement despite incomes that remain middle-tier. As a result it is ageing faster than almost any country at its income level, a clear case of growing old before growing rich. The pool of young workers is already shrinking, posing hard questions for its economy and its system of care.
The Thailand demographic outlook
Thailand is home to about 71.6 million people in 2026, the 20th largest population of any country. Set in South-Eastern Asia, its demographic path this century turns on the balance of births, deaths and migration. It packs in roughly 140 people per square kilometre.
The peak is already behind Thailand: its population maxed out at about 71.8 million near 2022 and is contracting. By 2050 the UN expects around 66.6 million people, and by 2100 about 45.7 million. The 50 million threshold was crossed near 1986.
At about 1.20 births per woman, Thailand has one of the world's lowest fertility rates, well under the replacement level of around 2.1.
The median age is set to climb from about 40 today to roughly 52 by 2100, while life expectancy, near 77 years, keeps rising. That ageing slowly changes everything from the size of the workforce to the cost of care and pensions.
The trajectory above is the UN's medium scenario. Wars, policy shifts, economic change and migration can all move the numbers, but the broad shape, a population already past its peak, is robust across the main variants.
Migration & natural change
Net migration against natural change (births β deaths), 2026
Thailand is a net destination for migration: roughly 29,200 more people arrive than leave each year. Deaths now outnumber births, subtracting about 95,794 people a year, so migration is what keeps the population from falling faster.
Who supports whom
Dependants (under 15 and 65+) per 100 working-age adults (15β64)
| Year | Youth | Old-age | Total | 65+ share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | 22 | 43 | 15% |
| 2050 | 20 | 50 | 70 | 30% |
| 2100 | 21 | 67 | 88 | 35% |
A total ratio of 100 means as many dependants as working-age adults. Rising old-age figures signal an ageing population and growing pressure on pensions and healthcare.
Key milestones
Age structure
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Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 71.7 million |
| Population 2050 | 66.6 million |
| Population 2075 | 55.5 million |
| Population 2100 | 45.7 million |
| Median age 2050 | 48.6 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 1.29 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 88.4 years |