Sweden Population
Sweden population, 1990โ2100
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
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Drag to read any year's indicators, 1950โ2100
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Sweden in context
Sweden long had relatively high fertility by European standards, supported by generous family policy, but births have since fallen to a record low, well below the replacement level. Immigration has been a major driver of growth and has reshaped the population over recent decades. The result is a country ageing more slowly than much of Europe but grappling with integration debates.
The Sweden demographic outlook
Sweden is home to about 10.7 million people in 2026, the 91st largest population of any country. In Northern Europe, where it lies, that future is driven by fertility, longevity and the movement of people across its borders. Population density stands at about 26 people for every square kilometre of land.
Sweden is projected to keep growing until about 2080, when its population peaks at roughly 11.4 million before a gradual decline sets in, leaving it near 11.4 million by 2100.
With fertility near 1.43, just under the 2.1 replacement mark, natural increase is fading. Net inward migration adds to the population each year and partly offsets the low birth rate.
Half of Sweden is currently younger than about 40, but by 2100 the median age is projected to reach around 49, even as life expectancy improves from about 83 years. A rising median age means fewer working-age people supporting each retiree over time.
Read these numbers as the midpoint of a range. Under the UN's high and low fertility paths Sweden's 2100 population could land well above or below the figures here; the medium variant is simply the central case.
Migration & natural change
Net migration against natural change (births โ deaths), 2026
Sweden is a net destination for migration: roughly 42,755 more people arrive than leave each year. Deaths now outnumber births, subtracting about 1,351 people a year, so migration is what keeps the population from falling faster.
Who supports whom
Dependants (under 15 and 65+) per 100 working-age adults (15โ64)
| Year | Youth | Old-age | Total | 65+ share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | 33 | 61 | 21% |
| 2050 | 24 | 43 | 67 | 26% |
| 2100 | 24 | 59 | 82 | 32% |
A total ratio of 100 means as many dependants as working-age adults. Rising old-age figures signal an ageing population and growing pressure on pensions and healthcare.
Key milestones
Age structure
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Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 10.6 million |
| Population 2050 | 11.3 million |
| Population 2075 | 11.4 million |
| Population 2100 | 11.4 million |
| Median age 2050 | 44.1 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 1.52 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 92.2 years |