Serbia Population
Serbia population, 1990β2100
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
Explore Serbia by year
Drag to read any year's indicators, 1950β2100
Current year
Serbia in context
Serbia's population has been declining since the late 1980s, squeezed by low fertility and decades of emigration that began with the Yugoslav wars and continued toward the EU. Its median age is now among the higher in Europe. The projection sees the population roughly halving by 2100, a trajectory shared across much of the Balkans.
The Serbia demographic outlook
With roughly 6.7 million people as of 2026, Serbia ranks 111th in the world by population. A country of Southern Europe, its trajectory to 2100 is governed by how births, deaths and migration play out. Population density stands at about 87 people for every square kilometre of land.
The peak is already behind Serbia: its population maxed out at about 7.9 million near 1988 and is contracting. By 2050 the UN expects around 5.6 million people, and by 2100 about 3.7 million.
With fertility near 1.50, just under the 2.1 replacement mark, natural increase is fading.
Half of Serbia is currently younger than about 44, but by 2100 the median age is projected to reach around 52, while life expectancy, near 77 years, keeps rising. A rising median age means fewer working-age people supporting each retiree over time.
All of this is a projection, not a prediction. The further out it runs the wider the plausible range becomes, which is why Serbia's charts show a low-to-high band around the central line.
Migration & natural change
Net migration against natural change (births β deaths), 2026
Serbia is a net source of migration: roughly 5,883 more people leave than arrive each year. Deaths now outnumber births, subtracting about 38,148 people a year, so migration is what keeps the population from falling faster.
Who supports whom
Dependants (under 15 and 65+) per 100 working-age adults (15β64)
| Year | Youth | Old-age | Total | 65+ share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | 36 | 59 | 23% |
| 2050 | 23 | 50 | 73 | 29% |
| 2100 | 23 | 66 | 89 | 35% |
A total ratio of 100 means as many dependants as working-age adults. Rising old-age figures signal an ageing population and growing pressure on pensions and healthcare.
Key milestones
Age structure
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Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 6.8 million |
| Population 2050 | 5.6 million |
| Population 2075 | 4.5 million |
| Population 2100 | 3.7 million |
| Median age 2050 | 48.4 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 1.56 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 88.3 years |