Zambia Population
Zambia population, 1990β2100
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
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Zambia in context
Zambia has high fertility and a young, fast-growing population centred on its copper-mining economy. Birth rates are easing only gradually, so growth remains rapid from a broad base. Translating mineral wealth into opportunities for a swelling young population is the country's recurring challenge.
The Zambia demographic outlook
Zambia is home to about 22.2 million people in 2026, the 63rd largest population of any country. Set in Eastern Africa, its demographic path this century turns on the balance of births, deaths and migration. Population density stands at about 30 people for every square kilometre of land.
Zambia is projected to keep growing until about 2100, when its population peaks at roughly 64.3 million before a gradual decline sets in, leaving it near 64.3 million by 2100. It is projected to pass the 50 million mark around 2070.
Fertility is high, around 4.04 births per woman, the engine of rapid, sustained growth.
Half of Zambia is currently younger than about 18, but by 2100 the median age is projected to reach around 34, even as life expectancy improves from about 67 years. For now it remains one of the world's youngest populations, with a large generation about to reach working age. A rising median age means fewer working-age people supporting each retiree over time.
These figures follow the UN's medium variant, the most widely cited scenario. The low and high variants, driven mainly by differing fertility assumptions, fan out into a wide range by 2100, so treat each number as a central estimate rather than a precise forecast.
Migration & natural change
Net migration against natural change (births β deaths), 2026
Zambia is a net destination for migration: roughly 6,939 more people arrive than leave each year. Births still outnumber deaths, adding about 606,119 people a year on their own.
Who supports whom
Dependants (under 15 and 65+) per 100 working-age adults (15β64)
| Year | Youth | Old-age | Total | 65+ share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 73 | 3 | 77 | 2% |
| 2050 | 51 | 8 | 58 | 5% |
| 2100 | 33 | 22 | 56 | 14% |
A total ratio of 100 means as many dependants as working-age adults. Rising old-age figures signal an ageing population and growing pressure on pensions and healthcare.
Key milestones
Age structure
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Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 21.0 million |
| Population 2050 | 37.8 million |
| Population 2075 | 53.1 million |
| Population 2100 | 64.3 million |
| Median age 2050 | 23.6 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 2.81 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 77.3 years |