Uganda Population
How does Ugandaβs population change, 1990β2100?
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
Explore Uganda by year
Drag to read any year's indicators, 1950β2100
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Uganda in context
Uganda has one of the youngest populations in the world, with a median age in the mid-teens and a fertility rate that, although declining, stays high. It is also one of Africa's largest refugee hosts, adding to an already fast-growing population. The country's central demographic question is whether it can educate and employ its enormous coming generation of young people.
What does Ugandaβs demographic future look like?
With roughly 52.1 million people as of 2026, Uganda ranks 30th in the world by population. A country of Eastern Africa, its trajectory to 2100 is governed by how births, deaths and migration play out. Population density stands at about 264 people for every square kilometre of land.
Unlike much of the world, Uganda keeps growing right through 2100. The population climbs from roughly 49.3 million now to about 84.8 million by 2050 and 121 million by 2100, a gain of +144.9%. The 100 million threshold is reached around 2063.
With about 4.16 births per woman, Uganda still has one of the higher fertility rates in the world, driving fast expansion. Emigration adds a further drag, as departures outnumber arrivals year to year.
Half of Uganda is currently younger than about 17, but by 2100 the median age is projected to reach around 40, even as life expectancy improves from about 68 years. For now it remains one of the world's youngest populations, with a large generation about to reach working age. A rising median age means fewer working-age people supporting each retiree over time.
All of this is a projection, not a prediction. The further out it runs the wider the plausible range becomes, which is why Uganda's charts show a low-to-high band around the central line.
Migration & natural change
Net migration against natural change (births β deaths), 2026
Uganda is a net source of migration: roughly 121,799 more people leave than arrive each year. Births still outnumber deaths, adding about 1,501,339 people a year on their own.
Who supports whom
Dependants (under 15 and 65+) per 100 working-age adults (15β64)
| Year | Youth | Old-age | Total | 65+ share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 80 | 4 | 84 | 2% |
| 2050 | 48 | 7 | 55 | 4% |
| 2100 | 29 | 32 | 61 | 20% |
A total ratio of 100 means as many dependants as working-age adults. Rising old-age figures signal an ageing population and growing pressure on pensions and healthcare.
Key milestones
Age structure
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Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 49.3 million |
| Population 2050 | 84.8 million |
| Population 2075 | 111 million |
| Population 2100 | 121 million |
| Median age 2050 | 24.0 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 2.61 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 81.1 years |
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