Afghanistan Population
Afghanistan population, 1990โ2100
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
Explore Afghanistan by year
Drag to read any year's indicators, 1950โ2100
Current year
Afghanistan in context
Afghanistan has one of the highest fertility rates in Asia and an extremely young population, growing rapidly despite decades of war and poverty. Restrictions on women's education and work under Taliban rule add deep uncertainty to its demographic future. For now the country is defined by a vast and fast-expanding generation of young people with limited prospects.
The Afghanistan demographic outlook
Afghanistan is home to about 44.4 million people in 2026, the 36th largest population of any country. Set in Southern Asia, its demographic path this century turns on the balance of births, deaths and migration. Population density stands at about 69 people for every square kilometre of land.
The defining marker in Afghanistan's future is its peak, expected around 2100 at about 130 million. After that the population eases back toward 130 million by 2100, having passed through 76.2 million at mid-century. The 100 million threshold is reached around 2068.
Half of Afghanistan is currently younger than about 17, but by 2100 the median age is projected to reach around 35, while life expectancy, near 66 years, keeps rising. For now it remains one of the world's youngest populations, with a large generation about to reach working age. That ageing slowly changes everything from the size of the workforce to the cost of care and pensions.
With about 4.76 births per woman, Afghanistan still has one of the higher fertility rates in the world, driving fast expansion. Emigration adds a further drag, as departures outnumber arrivals year to year.
The trajectory above is the UN's medium scenario. Wars, policy shifts, economic change and migration can all move the numbers, but the broad shape, growth followed by an eventual peak, is robust across the main variants.
Migration & natural change
Net migration against natural change (births โ deaths), 2026
Afghanistan is a net source of migration: roughly 53,884 more people leave than arrive each year. Births still outnumber deaths, adding about 1,272,232 people a year on their own.
Who supports whom
Dependants (under 15 and 65+) per 100 working-age adults (15โ64)
| Year | Youth | Old-age | Total | 65+ share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 78 | 4 | 83 | 2% |
| 2050 | 51 | 6 | 58 | 4% |
| 2100 | 32 | 22 | 54 | 14% |
A total ratio of 100 means as many dependants as working-age adults. Rising old-age figures signal an ageing population and growing pressure on pensions and healthcare.
Key milestones
Age structure
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Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 42.0 million |
| Population 2050 | 76.2 million |
| Population 2075 | 109 million |
| Population 2100 | 130 million |
| Median age 2050 | 23.0 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 3.09 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 77.3 years |